Poverty Dynamics and Moderating Effects on Labor Force–Economic Growth in Tanjung Jabung Timur
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.55351/prajaiswara.v7i1.274Keywords:
Economic Growth, Labor Force, PovertyAbstract
Introduction/Main Objectives: This study aims to analyze the effect of labor force and poverty on economic growth in Tanjung Jabung Timur Regency for the 2016–2025 period, and to examine the role of poverty as a moderating variable. This topic is important because regional economic growth is not always accompanied by a proportional reduction in poverty. Problem Background: The main issue addressed is the relationship between labor, poverty, and economic growth, and whether poverty strengthens or weakens the impact of labor on economic growth. Novelty: The novelty of this study lies in incorporating poverty as a moderating variable in the labor–economic growth nexus at the regional level, which remains relatively underexplored in prior studies. Research Method: This study employs a quantitative approach using time series data from 2016–2025 obtained from official regional statistics. The analytical methods include multiple linear regression and Moderated Regression Analysis (MRA) with an interaction term (X1*X2). Findings/Results: The results indicate that labor has a positive and significant effect on economic growth (β = 0.298; sig. 0.004), while poverty has a negative and significant effect (β = -0.145; sig. 0.045). The interaction term (β = -0.0021; sig. 0.027) reveals that poverty weakens the effect of labor on economic growth. Conclusion: In conclusion, increases in labor force do not optimally promote economic growth without a reduction in poverty levels. The implication is that development policies should simultaneously focus on improving labor quality and reducing poverty.
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Author Biography
Adi Putra, Universitas Muhammadiyah Jambi, Jambi, Indonesia
References
Adipathy, D. A., & Armunanto, Y. N. (2025). Penerapan Model Solow: Kontribusi Modal dan Tenaga Kerja terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Pulau Sumatera. SALAM: Islamic Economics Journal, 6(2).
Afif Naufal, H., Lastuti, Y., Kusumaningrum, A., Ringga Edwid Dian Negara, D., & Siti Mukharohmah, M. (2025). Pengaruh Tenaga Kerja, Modal dan teknologi Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia. 9(2), 2025.
Al Faridz, F., & Kurniawan, M. (2024). PT. Media Akademik Publisher Diana Agustia 2 Febrina Olifia 3. JMA), 2(6), 3031–5220. https://doi.org/10.62281
Bergantino, A. S., Intini, M., & Nademi, Y. (2025). Rethinking poverty: An econometric analysis of the role of ICT poverty in a global context. Telecommunications Policy, 49(1), 102876.
Destoprani Branjamoto, Siti Amelia, Sela Safitri, & Riski R. (2021). Pengaruh Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dan Perubahan Struktur Ekonomi Terhadap Kemiskinan. SALAM: Islamic Economics Journal, 1–6.
Edochie, I., Newhouse, D., Tzavidis, N., Schmid, T., Foster, E., Hernandez, A. L., ... & Savadogo, A. (2025). Small area estimation of poverty in four west african countries by integrating survey and geospatial data. Journal of Official Statistics, 41(1), 96-124.
Ervina, N., Junaidi, J., Zulgani, Z., & Achmad, E. (2025). Analysis of Tax Compliance Levels for Regional Taxes in the Provinces of Indonesia. Economies, 13(12), 354.
Fadillah, A., & Permata Cita, F. (2022). Pengaruh Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Partisipasi Tenaga kerja dan Pengangguran terhadap Tingkat Kemiskinan di Provinsi NTB Periode 2022-2024. https://doi.org/10.63822/0nshpx94
Fahrudin. (2024). Faktor Faktor Penentu pertumbuhan Ekonomi: Analisis Konsep, Indikator dan Pendekatan Pengukuran. Interdisciplinary Explorations in Research Journal (IERJ), 2, 1375–1384. http://shariajournal.com/index.php/IERJ/
Fauzel, S., Seetanah, B., & Tandrayen-Ragoobur, V. (2025). The moderating effect of education on the trade–poverty nexus–a dynamic analysis for Africa. African Journal of Economic and Management Studies, 1-16.
Haidir, A. A., & Setyari, N. P. W. (2024). Indonesia social progress: the role of access to basic education in escaping from poverty trap. Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan, 24(2), 428–457. https://doi.org/10.18196/jesp.v24i2.19810
Halim, A., Buhari, I., & Nurkodri, M. S. (2024). Analysis of District/City Economic Development Inequality in Jambi Province. Jurnal Prajaiswara, 5(1).
Hardiani, H., Junaidi, J., & Suri, P. I. (2025). Understanding the Socio-Economic Drivers of Subjective Well-Being in Older Adults: Evidence from Jambi Province.
Hidayat Manra, A. S., & Arsyad, M. (2012). Pengaruh Tingkat Investasi dan Tenaga Kerja Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi. In AKUNTABEL (Vol. 18, Number 4). http://journal.feb.unmul.ac.id/index.php/AKUNTABEL
Ilham, A. N., & Dian Octaviani. (2024). Analisis Peran faktor-Faktor Ekonomi yang Mempengaruhi Pengentasan Kemiskinan di Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi Trisakti, 4(1), 771–780. https://doi.org/10.25105/jet.v4i1.16560
Jiang, Y., Wang, X., Gan, Y., Adili, M., He, Y., & Wei, X. (2026). Changing landscape of multidimensional poverty among rural left-behind elderly in China: Where and why does it persist?. Journal of Rural Studies, 123, 104060.
Khan, I., Hasan, H., & Rehman, H. A. (2026). Unveiling the dynamics of household poverty: empirical insights from a developing country. Journal of Poverty, 30(1), 52-69.
Kurniati, A., & Hakim, A. (2025). Analisis kemiskinan multidimensi di Kota Magelang dengan metode Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI). Jurnal Kebijakan Ekonomi Dan Keuangan, 237–246. https://doi.org/10.20885/JKEK.vol4.iss2.art11
Nurkodri, M. S., Amir, A., & Zamzami, Z. (2023). Analisis pengaruh dana perimbangan dan investasi terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Kabupaten/Kota dalam Provinsi Jambi. e-Jurnal Ekonomi Sumberdaya dan Lingkungan, 12(1), 29-38.
Prayitno, B., & Yustie, R. (2020). Pengaruh Tenaga Kerja, IPM dan Kemiskinan Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Kabupaten kota di Jawa Timur Tahun 2014-2018. In Equilibrium: Jurnal Ekonomi-Manajemen-Akuntansi (Vol. 16, Number 1).
Putri, S. H. M., & Shofwan. (2024). Implementasi Multidimesional Poverty Index dalam Mengukur Keefektivitasan Pengukuran Kemiskinan di Indonesia. Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies, 3(3), 697–711. https://doi.org/10.21776/jdess.2024.03.3.03
Sari, T. P., Ferina, I. S., & Pasla, B. N. P. (2025). Post-Regulatory Performance: Does Indonesia’s New Fiscal Law Strengthen Local Government Revenue?. Jurnal Prajaiswara, 6(1), 509-517.
Sembiring, G. B., Situmorang, E. J., Siagian, H., & Syakura, M. A. (2023). The Link Between Economic Growth and Poverty in Indonesia Hubungan Antara Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dengan Kemiskinan di Indonesia.
Siswoyo, S., Mainita, M., Putra, A., & Pasla, B. N. (2025). Minimum Wage and Structural Poverty: A Mediation Analysis Based on Labor Market Theory in Jambi Province. Jurnal Prajaiswara, 6(2), 554-561.
Siti Kharisatul Ulya, Rindiani Rindiani, Gustina Masitoh, Chika Dwi Oktaviani, & Aditya Reza Rezola. (2025). Analisis Pengaruh Pengangguran dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi terhadap Kemiskinan di Indonesia. GEMILANG: Jurnal Manajemen Dan Akuntansi, 5(3), 100–123. https://doi.org/10.56910/gemilang.v5i3.2171
Sokian, M., Amri, ;, & Zamzami, A. ; (2020). Pengaruh pertumbuhan ekonomi terhadap penyerapan tenaga kerja dan kemiskinan di Kabupaten Sarolangun. In Jurnal Paradigma Ekonomika (Vol. 15, Number 2).
Tabash, M. I., Farooq, U., Gherghina, Ș. C., Varma, M., & Aljughaiman, A. A. (2025). Evaluating the effects of public private partnership investment in energy on labor market dynamics and poverty alleviation in BRICS countries. Discover Sustainability, 6(1), 573.
Ünver, Ş., Alkan, Ö., Çelik, A. K., & Abar, H. (2025). Determining factors affecting regional poverty levels in Türkiye: a comparison of ordered discrete choice models. Journal of Health, Population and Nutrition, 44(1), 37.
Yunus, A. A. M. A. P., & Jamar, N. (2025). Analisis Modal Manusia dan Pekerja Informal terhadap Produktivitas Tenaga Kerja di Indonesia. RIGGS: Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Digital Business, 4(4), 696–703. https://doi.org/10.31004/riggs.v4i4.3391
Yuvanda, S., Yuniarti, T., & Nurkodri, M. S. (2025). Analisis Kinerja Keuangan Daerah dan Hubungan Dengan Kemiskinan Daerah Pada Kabupaten/Kota Di Provinsi Jambi. Jurnal Manajemen Terapan dan Keuangan, 14(03), 1228-1236.
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25-04-2026
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Asrofin, A., Putra, A., Nurdin, N., & Nurkodri, M. S. (2026). Poverty Dynamics and Moderating Effects on Labor Force–Economic Growth in Tanjung Jabung Timur. Jurnal Prajaiswara, 7(1). https://doi.org/10.55351/prajaiswara.v7i1.274
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Copyright (c) 2026 Jurnal Prajaiswara
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
Adi Putra, Universitas Muhammadiyah Jambi, Jambi, Indonesia
References
Adipathy, D. A., & Armunanto, Y. N. (2025). Penerapan Model Solow: Kontribusi Modal dan Tenaga Kerja terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Pulau Sumatera. SALAM: Islamic Economics Journal, 6(2).
Afif Naufal, H., Lastuti, Y., Kusumaningrum, A., Ringga Edwid Dian Negara, D., & Siti Mukharohmah, M. (2025). Pengaruh Tenaga Kerja, Modal dan teknologi Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Indonesia. 9(2), 2025.
Al Faridz, F., & Kurniawan, M. (2024). PT. Media Akademik Publisher Diana Agustia 2 Febrina Olifia 3. JMA), 2(6), 3031–5220. https://doi.org/10.62281
Bergantino, A. S., Intini, M., & Nademi, Y. (2025). Rethinking poverty: An econometric analysis of the role of ICT poverty in a global context. Telecommunications Policy, 49(1), 102876.
Destoprani Branjamoto, Siti Amelia, Sela Safitri, & Riski R. (2021). Pengaruh Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dan Perubahan Struktur Ekonomi Terhadap Kemiskinan. SALAM: Islamic Economics Journal, 1–6.
Edochie, I., Newhouse, D., Tzavidis, N., Schmid, T., Foster, E., Hernandez, A. L., ... & Savadogo, A. (2025). Small area estimation of poverty in four west african countries by integrating survey and geospatial data. Journal of Official Statistics, 41(1), 96-124.
Ervina, N., Junaidi, J., Zulgani, Z., & Achmad, E. (2025). Analysis of Tax Compliance Levels for Regional Taxes in the Provinces of Indonesia. Economies, 13(12), 354.
Fadillah, A., & Permata Cita, F. (2022). Pengaruh Pertumbuhan Ekonomi, Partisipasi Tenaga kerja dan Pengangguran terhadap Tingkat Kemiskinan di Provinsi NTB Periode 2022-2024. https://doi.org/10.63822/0nshpx94
Fahrudin. (2024). Faktor Faktor Penentu pertumbuhan Ekonomi: Analisis Konsep, Indikator dan Pendekatan Pengukuran. Interdisciplinary Explorations in Research Journal (IERJ), 2, 1375–1384. http://shariajournal.com/index.php/IERJ/
Fauzel, S., Seetanah, B., & Tandrayen-Ragoobur, V. (2025). The moderating effect of education on the trade–poverty nexus–a dynamic analysis for Africa. African Journal of Economic and Management Studies, 1-16.
Haidir, A. A., & Setyari, N. P. W. (2024). Indonesia social progress: the role of access to basic education in escaping from poverty trap. Jurnal Ekonomi & Studi Pembangunan, 24(2), 428–457. https://doi.org/10.18196/jesp.v24i2.19810
Halim, A., Buhari, I., & Nurkodri, M. S. (2024). Analysis of District/City Economic Development Inequality in Jambi Province. Jurnal Prajaiswara, 5(1).
Hardiani, H., Junaidi, J., & Suri, P. I. (2025). Understanding the Socio-Economic Drivers of Subjective Well-Being in Older Adults: Evidence from Jambi Province.
Hidayat Manra, A. S., & Arsyad, M. (2012). Pengaruh Tingkat Investasi dan Tenaga Kerja Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi. In AKUNTABEL (Vol. 18, Number 4). http://journal.feb.unmul.ac.id/index.php/AKUNTABEL
Ilham, A. N., & Dian Octaviani. (2024). Analisis Peran faktor-Faktor Ekonomi yang Mempengaruhi Pengentasan Kemiskinan di Indonesia. Jurnal Ekonomi Trisakti, 4(1), 771–780. https://doi.org/10.25105/jet.v4i1.16560
Jiang, Y., Wang, X., Gan, Y., Adili, M., He, Y., & Wei, X. (2026). Changing landscape of multidimensional poverty among rural left-behind elderly in China: Where and why does it persist?. Journal of Rural Studies, 123, 104060.
Khan, I., Hasan, H., & Rehman, H. A. (2026). Unveiling the dynamics of household poverty: empirical insights from a developing country. Journal of Poverty, 30(1), 52-69.
Kurniati, A., & Hakim, A. (2025). Analisis kemiskinan multidimensi di Kota Magelang dengan metode Multidimensional Poverty Index (MPI). Jurnal Kebijakan Ekonomi Dan Keuangan, 237–246. https://doi.org/10.20885/JKEK.vol4.iss2.art11
Nurkodri, M. S., Amir, A., & Zamzami, Z. (2023). Analisis pengaruh dana perimbangan dan investasi terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi di Kabupaten/Kota dalam Provinsi Jambi. e-Jurnal Ekonomi Sumberdaya dan Lingkungan, 12(1), 29-38.
Prayitno, B., & Yustie, R. (2020). Pengaruh Tenaga Kerja, IPM dan Kemiskinan Terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Kabupaten kota di Jawa Timur Tahun 2014-2018. In Equilibrium: Jurnal Ekonomi-Manajemen-Akuntansi (Vol. 16, Number 1).
Putri, S. H. M., & Shofwan. (2024). Implementasi Multidimesional Poverty Index dalam Mengukur Keefektivitasan Pengukuran Kemiskinan di Indonesia. Journal of Development Economic and Social Studies, 3(3), 697–711. https://doi.org/10.21776/jdess.2024.03.3.03
Sari, T. P., Ferina, I. S., & Pasla, B. N. P. (2025). Post-Regulatory Performance: Does Indonesia’s New Fiscal Law Strengthen Local Government Revenue?. Jurnal Prajaiswara, 6(1), 509-517.
Sembiring, G. B., Situmorang, E. J., Siagian, H., & Syakura, M. A. (2023). The Link Between Economic Growth and Poverty in Indonesia Hubungan Antara Pertumbuhan Ekonomi dengan Kemiskinan di Indonesia.
Siswoyo, S., Mainita, M., Putra, A., & Pasla, B. N. (2025). Minimum Wage and Structural Poverty: A Mediation Analysis Based on Labor Market Theory in Jambi Province. Jurnal Prajaiswara, 6(2), 554-561.
Siti Kharisatul Ulya, Rindiani Rindiani, Gustina Masitoh, Chika Dwi Oktaviani, & Aditya Reza Rezola. (2025). Analisis Pengaruh Pengangguran dan Pertumbuhan Ekonomi terhadap Kemiskinan di Indonesia. GEMILANG: Jurnal Manajemen Dan Akuntansi, 5(3), 100–123. https://doi.org/10.56910/gemilang.v5i3.2171
Sokian, M., Amri, ;, & Zamzami, A. ; (2020). Pengaruh pertumbuhan ekonomi terhadap penyerapan tenaga kerja dan kemiskinan di Kabupaten Sarolangun. In Jurnal Paradigma Ekonomika (Vol. 15, Number 2).
Tabash, M. I., Farooq, U., Gherghina, Ș. C., Varma, M., & Aljughaiman, A. A. (2025). Evaluating the effects of public private partnership investment in energy on labor market dynamics and poverty alleviation in BRICS countries. Discover Sustainability, 6(1), 573.
Ünver, Ş., Alkan, Ö., Çelik, A. K., & Abar, H. (2025). Determining factors affecting regional poverty levels in Türkiye: a comparison of ordered discrete choice models. Journal of Health, Population and Nutrition, 44(1), 37.
Yunus, A. A. M. A. P., & Jamar, N. (2025). Analisis Modal Manusia dan Pekerja Informal terhadap Produktivitas Tenaga Kerja di Indonesia. RIGGS: Journal of Artificial Intelligence and Digital Business, 4(4), 696–703. https://doi.org/10.31004/riggs.v4i4.3391
Yuvanda, S., Yuniarti, T., & Nurkodri, M. S. (2025). Analisis Kinerja Keuangan Daerah dan Hubungan Dengan Kemiskinan Daerah Pada Kabupaten/Kota Di Provinsi Jambi. Jurnal Manajemen Terapan dan Keuangan, 14(03), 1228-1236.
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